Chubby♨️@kimmonismus · XKim回应外界对Anthropic与OpenAI近期RSI言论仅为2026年IPO炒作的质疑。引用Anthropic数据：即使模型能力冻结，智能体扩散也将使100人公司完成1000人工作；实际发展已超过内部指数假设。模型自主任务时长加速翻倍——2024年3月Claude Opus 3完成4分钟任务，一年后Sonnet 3.7达1.5小时，再一年后Opus 4.6达12小时，翻倍周期从7个月缩短至4个月。若趋势持续，今年内可处理数天级任务。OpenAI同样认可该方向。
I've read the comment several times now that this is IPO talk.
And it's a fair comment. Yes， both OpenAI and Anthropic are currently talking about RSI. And yes， both are planning an IPO in 2026. A model like Mythos and an article about RSI appear at just the right time， which naturally makes it seem odd.
But if you read through the noise and look at the evidence， you can see it. And at least the data that Anthropic provides suggests the validity of their thesis， at least based on what has been presented. At the same time， Dario Amodei started talking about RSI as early as 2024， saying he didn't consider it far-fetched， long before the IPO， and discussed it in his article "Machines of Loving Grace." Something similar happened with OpenAI.
In short： it's not just empty talk， but has a valid basis， although real-world use cases will probably soon be demonstrated using this myth-like model， thus providing a more solid foundation for the debate. But I consider their statements to be more than just IPO rhetoric.