美国将AI视为维持全球主导地位的战略技术,不会同意暂停开发。中国开源模型据估计仅落后4-6个月,暂停将给中国赶超机会,因此暂停呼吁更多是公关姿态。关于RSI(递归自我改进),OpenAI和Anthropic都在讨论,且均计划2026年IPO。Mythos模型与RSI文章出现时机看似可疑,但Anthropic提供的数据支持其论点,且Dario Amodei早在2024年就开始讨论RSI,早于IPO计划,因此RSI并非空谈。
A global pause in AI development will not happen. And the reason is simple and straightforward:
The US has repeatedly stated that it views AI as a strategically vital technology-one where maintaining leadership and an edge is intended to secure its global dominance. A pause would risk China overtaking them, especially given that Chinese open-source models are estimated to lag only four to six months behind.
In this respect, calls for a pause are more about PR than serious intent - a gesture of goodwill rather than a genuine strategic move.
AI is too important, too pivotal for the future, and too transformative for any nation to forgo the opportunity to gain a lead over its rivals.