Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai · XCoatue Management联合创始人Thomas Laffont在All-In Podcast中引用数据：独角兽（$10亿）成长为十角兽（$100亿）概率约8%；十角兽到百角兽（$1000亿）概率8%-13%；百角兽有31%概率实现10倍增长至万亿美元。他预测OpenAI、Anthropic和SpaceX今年可能达到万亿估值。Laffont还指出，近期公共市场罕见出现三家公司同年从$5000亿跃升至$1万亿，其中两家仅用数周。
"Data showed us that if you're a unicorn （$1B）， the odds of you one day becoming a decacorn （$10B） are about 8%.
If you're a decacorn， the odds of you becoming a $100B company is around 8% to 13%.
But if you're a centacorn （$100B）， the odds change significantly - you now have a 31% chance of having had a 10x i.e. to $1 Tn valuation."
Thomas Laffont is explaining the massive AI-driven IPO wave coming in this year. OpenAI， Anthropic， and SpaceX each potentially crossing trillion dollar valuation.
Thomas Laffont is the co-founder of Coatue Management， a major technology-focused investment firm （hedge fund + venture/private equity） with roughly $70 billion in assets under management.
"And if we look at how quickly these companies are creating value， this is a chart that I added at the last minute because the data is so fresh. But you can see that it typically takes multiple years to go from $500 billion to $1 trillion in market cap.
Well， something happened very recently in the public market， which is that not only did we have three companies do it in the same year， but we had two companies do it in a matter of weeks."
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From "All-In Podcast and Coatue Management" YouTube channel， （link in comment）