郭明錤分析,台积电CoPoS预计2028下半年量产,面向9.5倍光罩尺寸以上超大封装,NVIDIA Feynman AI芯片或率先采用。玻璃用于两个位置:310×310mm临时载板,以及250×250mm(试产)/510×515mm(量产)玻璃面板加工成玻璃核心基板。该基板为三层结构——玻璃芯两侧叠加ABF增层,TGV成孔与铜填充等挑战集中于此处。澄清常见误解:玻璃非中介层,互连由RDL、TGV/Cu及ABF共同承担;玻璃与ABF共存而非替代;芯片贴装在ABF增层表面。CoPoS有望延续台积电先进封装领先优势至2032年左右。
Key takeaways on TSMC's next-generation advanced packaging, CoPoS (publicly available technical details omitted):
1. CoPoS is currently expected to enter mass production in 2H28. It is designed to improve the economics of ultra-large packages above the 9.5x reticle-size class, with NVIDIA's Feynman AI chip a potential first adopter.
2. According to industry checks, glass is used in two distinct places (dimensions in mm): → 310 x 310 temporary glass carriers → 250 x 250 (pilot) / 510 x 515 (mass production) glass panels, processed and later cut into individual glass core substrates
3. The glass core substrate is essentially a three-layer structure: a glass core sandwiched between ABF (ABF-GCP) build-up layers on both sides. The widely discussed glass processing challenges, such as TGV formation and copper filling / metallization, are tied to this part of the stack.
4. Common misconceptions about CoPoS: → ❌ Misconception 1: CoPoS uses a glass interposer. ⭕️ Correction: The glass is not an interposer. The interconnect role is instead handled by the chip-side RDL, plus the TGV/Cu interconnects and ABF build-up layers in the glass-core substrate stack. → ❌ Misconception 2: Glass replaces ABF. ⭕️ Correction: As the substrate architecture above shows, glass and ABF coexist. → ❌ Misconception 3: Chips sit directly on glass. ⭕️ Correction: Chips are attached to the ABF build-up surface of the glass core substrate.
5. CoPoS should extend and reinforce TSMC's leadership in advanced packaging, potentially giving that advantage visibility through around 2032.